India vix trading strategies

India vix trading strategies

Author: Yola Date of post: 14.07.2017

Sankarshan Basu, Associate Professor Student Contributors: Arup Halder, Chandra Prakash Tiwari. The Volatility Index VIX measures the implied volatility in the market using the price levels of the index options. The attractiveness of VIX stems from the fact that it is negatively correlated with the underlying index, and that it creates a new asset class which bases itself on non directional volatility views.

In the Indian context, the introduction of VIX has helped the traders gauge market sentiments and many traders are already using VIX values for their trading calls.

The Volatility Index VIX is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by stock index option prices. Since its introduction in by CBOE, VIX has been considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of investor sentiment.

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It has become the benchmark for stock market volatility. The VIX index is also known as fear and greed index in the market.

VIX is based on real-time option prices, which reflect investors' consensus view of future expected stock market volatility. During periods of financial stress, which are often accompanied by steep market declines, option prices - and VIX - tend to rise. Greater the fear, higher is the VIX level.

As investor fear subsides, option prices tend to decline, which in turn causes VIX to decline. The need for such an asset class which derives itself more on the movement and not on the direction has been made particularly important in light of the high volatility in the markets, coupled with the increasing frequency of financial crises.

In India, VIX was launched in April, by National stock exchange NSE. The VIX index of India is based on the Nifty 50 Index Option prices. The methodology of calculating the VIX index is same as that for CBOE VIX index. The current focus on the VIX is due to its inherent property of negative correlation with the underlying price index, and its usefulness for predicting the direction of the price index.

The most notable feature of the VIX is its negative correlation with the price index. This presents immense potential to use the volatility asset class as offered by the VIX as an effective hedging instrument. The correlation of Indian VIX with the NIFTY index is shown in the following table for various periods.

The negative correlation of VIX with NIFTY as seen from the table makes it an excellent hedging tool. The correlation is very high in short term 1 week to 3 months , however in long term the negative correlation goes down as the VIX is a range bound index while the stock index may go significantly up or down in long term.

How to read India VIX and Strategies to trade nifty future volatility

The following graph depicts the inverse movement relation between the VIX and the underlying price index. The return of VIX index was observed on the days when the NIFTY index gave negative returns. The period chosen for the analysis of the data was November 1, to July 31, Out of these 59 days, the VIX index gave positive returns on 50 days.

This shows that VIX offsets the negative returns of the underlying index. It can be seen that as the average return on NIFTY decreases, the return on VIX index increases.

The negative NIFTY returns and corresponding VIX returns are shown in Exhibit 3. The result for the positive NIFTY returns is shown in Exhibit 4.

It can be seen that the VIX is a good hedge when the returns are not very high on a particular day. However, if the NIFTY returns are very high on a particular day, VIX has also given positive return or only slightly negative return. Thus we observe that the VIX is a very good albeit biased hedging instrument. On most of the days, correlation of the returns is negative, however, when the markets move up significantly, VIX may show positive correlation with the market.

VIX options are an excellent tool for traders who want to take a position on expected implied volatility. Just like traditional stock options, they can be traded during normal stock market hours through a securities broker. The features of volatility trading are that they are non directional in nature, and that the view taken by a trader is that of whether the underlying asset will be more volatile in the future or not.

The traditional way to implement such a view without incurring directional risks would be to use non-vanilla options like straddles, strangles or through variance swaps. However, with the introduction of VIX derivatives, such views can be simply implemented, with the advantage of having a standardized implied volatility calculation. Furthermore, such index based VIX derivatives, would enable implementation of complex strategies like volatility arbitrage. However, in India, the trading on VIX is not allowed as of now and the VIX is used just to gauge to volatility in the market.

One of the major shortcomings is the illiquid option markets that are present in India. This is typically seen in the form of very low volumes for far month options, as well as a high bid ask spread. Also, the VIX calculation assumes that the option prices are continuous. In US the difference between the consecutive options strike is 25 while in India it is 50, which is contrary to the continuous strike price assumption.

Such factors lead to a calculated VIX value which may be biased due to illiquidity, low volumes and non continuous strike prices.

This bias may be removed by using a modified calculation of the Indian VIX using volume and bid ask spread filters.

India VIX

Another shortcoming that we observed was the lack of transparency in the NSE manual regarding the VIX calculation. The NSE VIX methodology mentions MIBOR as the risk free rate, however it does not mention the term duration of the MIBOR rate that needs to be used.

Modeling of market volatility is one of the most important issues of recent times. Accurate modeling and forecast of volatility are of immense importance in managing the risk. The current sub-prime crisis has further emphasized the importance of accurate modeling and forecasting of volatility. In the Indian context, the introduction of VIX has helped the traders gauge market sentiments and many traders are already using VIX values for the trading calls. The introduction of trading in VIX index will enable active management of risks that cannot be hedged.

The regulator will allow the trading in index as well when the market participants will become comfortable with the index. We believe that the developed instruments like VIX will significantly contribute to the development of the emerging markets like India in the course of time. Sankarshan Basu is an Associate Professor in the Finance and Control Area at IIM Bangalore. He holds a Ph. He can be reached at sankarshanb iimb.

Arup Halder PGP holds a B. He can be reached at aruph07 iimb.

india vix explained in Hindi & English Stock Market Training India Technical Analysis Software

Chandra Prakash Tiwari PGP holds a B. He can be reached at chandrap07 iimb. This article focuses on explaining the merits and demerits of the volatility index VIX. While measuring the implied volatility in the market, the VIX is also a great tool for hedging in times of financial distress.

It also helps traders in cases of expected volatility in the market.

india vix trading strategies

The primary focus here is the Indian stock market and the benefits of VIX to stakeholders in the Indian markets. The volatility index will increase the understanding among people.

Once that happens, we will be ready to launch products based on it.

B Bhave, Chairman of SEBI. Duration Correlation 1 week. VIX is a very good albeit biased hedging instrument. Best of Faculty Student Collaborative Enquiry. PRINT The Indian Volatility Index - An effective hedging instrument?

Arup Halder, Chandra Prakash Tiwari This article focuses on explaining the merits and demerits of the volatility index VIX. The Indian Context The volatility index will increase the understanding among people. B Bhave, Chairman of SEBI In India, VIX was launched in April, by National stock exchange NSE. VIX as a Hedging Instrument The most notable feature of the VIX is its negative correlation with the price index.

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